Weather in Madeira - 14-day forecast

Forecast updated: Tuesday 3 NovemberWeather history: NASA POWER · 1981-2025
Weather in the coming days

What will the week bring? Madeira

3 November Madeira: the high will be about 18°C and the low 10°C. Trace rainfall - around 0.5 mm. 4 November it will be similarly warm: with a high of about 18°C.

18°C

maximum on Tue 3 Nov

Temperature, rainfall and historical comparison

Weather forecast compared with previous years

Choose a day to see the details. Temperatures show the daily high and low.

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10°13.8°17.5°21.3°25°18°Tue 3 Nov18°Wed 4 Nov18°Thu 5 Nov19°Fri 6 Nov18°Sat 7 Nov17°Sun 8 Nov14°Mon 9 Nov
Forecast: daily highTypical range 1991-2020
Selected day in detail

Tuesday 3 November

Daily high18°CUsually 20-22°C
Daily low10°CColdest part of the day
Rainfall total0.5 mmTrace rainfall
Maximum wind speed10 km/hForecast wind speed

Cooler than usual. The historical comparison uses daily highs at this time of year. Less than 1 mm of rain is forecast for the day.

Full day-by-day forecast - table
14-day forecast: Madeira
DateMax. / min.RainTypical daily highMax. wind
Tuesday 3 November18° / 10°0.5 mm20-22°C10 km/h
Wednesday 4 November18° / 14°3.2 mm20-22°C10 km/h
Thursday 5 November18° / 15°1.9 mm20-22°C6 km/h
Friday 6 November19° / 15°6.2 mm20-22°C10 km/h
Saturday 7 November18° / 16°41.7 mm20-22°C12 km/h
Sunday 8 November17° / 13°75.3 mm20-22°C28 km/h
Monday 9 November14° / 11°2.4 mm20-22°C15 km/h
Tuesday 10 November15° / 10°0.9 mm20-22°C13 km/h
Wednesday 11 November12° / 8°2.7 mm20-22°C11 km/h
Thursday 12 November11° / 9°2.1 mm20-21°C11 km/h
Friday 13 November11° / 9°4.1 mm20-21°C12 km/h
Saturday 14 November12° / 9°5.7 mm19-21°C11 km/h
Sunday 15 November12° / 9°0.7 mm19-21°C8 km/h
Monday 16 November13° / 8°0.4 mm19-21°C8 km/h

What stands out this week?

Temperatures this week

14-19°C

Average forecast high: 17°C. Historical reference for these dates: 21°C.

Temperature changes

No sharp cooling

The first 7 forecast days show no day-to-day drop of 3°C or more in the high.

Will it rain?

6 days with rain ≥1 mm

7-day total: 131.1 mm. Across 45 historical seasons, the typical range for the same dates was 2-13 mm.

This summary covers the first 7 forecast days. A rainy day has at least 1 mm of rain. The historical comparison shows how often such days occurred in previous years.

Weather history 1981-2025

The same week in previous years

NASA POWER

How warm was this week in previous years?

Each bar shows the average daily high during the same 7-day period in each year.

swipe to see more years →
15°23°30° 1981: 21°C1982: 21°C1983: 21°C1984: 21°C1985: 23°C1986: 20°C1987: 21°C1988: 20°C1989: 20°C1990: 21°C1991: 21°C1992: 21°C1993: 19°C1994: 21°C1995: 22°C1996: 21°C1997: 22°C1998: 22°C1999: 22°C2000: 20°C2001: 21°C2002: 22°C2003: 21°C2004: 21°C2005: 20°C2006: 21°C2007: 22°C2008: 20°C2009: 22°C2010: 21°C2011: 21°C2012: 21°C2013: 21°C2014: 21°C2015: 21°C2016: 21°C2017: 21°C2018: 20°C2019: 21°C2020: 20°C2021: 21°C2022: 22°C2023: 21°C2024: 23°C2025: 22°C 2026 forecast: 18°C current forecast 18°C 198119902000201020202026
cooler yearstypical rangewarmer years2026 forecastcurrent forecast

From 1981 to 2025, the 3-9 Nov period averaged 21°C by day. The coolest year was 1993 (19°C) and the warmest was 1985 (23°C). The current forecast averages 18°C - lower than in 100% of historical years.

How do we compare the forecast with history?

The forecast chart band shows the 20th-80th percentiles of NASA POWER daily highs from 1991-2020, using the date and a ±7-calendar-day window. The line shows the forecast daily high. The year-by-year chart compares average highs over the same seven dates.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) data describe conditions in the grid cell covering the location. Elevation and local conditions can affect the comparison.

NASA POWER source and methodology
Plan your trip

Travel offers: Madeira

Partner offers

Hotel and accommodation map

Booking.com · Madeira

Activities and tours

GetYourGuide · Madeira

What else should you know before travelling?

Beyond the forecast period

What weather is typical in the following weeks?

For dates beyond the 14-day forecast, we show typical conditions based on historical data.

Tue 17 Nov - Mon 30 Nov20°C / 19°Cusual daily high / low
Tue 1 Dec - Thu 17 Dec19°C / 18°Cusual daily high / low

Average of the daily medians for the following dates from 1991-2020. A comparison based on historical data.

Downloadable forecast graphic
Madeira - 14-day weather forecast infographic
Detailed weather forecast for Madeira, Portugal: daytime and night temperature, rain, sunrise and sunset - today and for the next two weeks.

UV index in Madeira - is it safe to sunbathe?

UV INDEX · 16-DAY FORECASTMadeira03681111+3.7UV MODERATEtoday, daily maxSeek shade around midday. SPF 30+, sunglasses and ahat for longer stays.Unprotected fair skin may burn in about 55 min4Tue3.115Wed4.115Thu5.115Fri6.110Sat7.112Sun8.113Mon9.114Tue10.111Wed11.113Thu12.113Fri13.114Sat14.113Sun15.113Mon16.113Tue17.110-2 low3-5 moderate6-7 high8-10 very high11+ extremeworld-prices.com · 2026-11-03
Today the UV index in Madeira is 4 (moderate) - unprotected fair skin can burn in about 55 minutes. Seek shade around midday. SPF 30+, sunglasses and a hat for longer stays.

Sea temperature - Madeira

Water today
23°C
Week avg
22°C
Waves today
0.4 m
How's the water?
pleasant
16-day sea temperature forecast:
3.11 23°C4.11 23°C5.11 23°C6.11 23°C7.11 22°C8.11 22°C9.11 22°C10.11 22°C11.11 22°C
Average sea temperature through the year:
Jan 20°CFeb 20°CMar 19°CApr 20°CMay 21°CJun 22°CJul 24°CAug 25°CSep 24°COct 24°CNov 23°CDec 21°C
Sea-surface temperature from marine models, updated daily. See also: where the sea is warmest right now.

Madeira weather through the year

Madeira - annual climate
Madeira weather through the year
MonthAverage highAverage lowDays with ≥1 mm precipitation
January17.7°C16.6°C22.5%
February17.3°C16.1°C25.4%
March17.4°C16.2°C23.6%
April17.8°C16.6°C15.6%
May18.8°C17.7°C10.2%
June20.5°C19.4°C5.3%
July21.9°C20.8°C0.9%
August23°C21.9°C4.2%
September23.2°C22°C12%
October22.2°C21.1°C24.7%
November20.4°C19.3°C28.7%
December18.9°C17.9°C30.6%

Based on NASA POWER historical data from 1981–2025. Temperatures are averages of daily highs and lows; precipitation is the share of days with at least 1 mm. Each month includes at least 45 years of data. Gridded data for the area around this location.

Upcoming public holidays in Portugal: Restoration of Independence — 1 December · Immaculate Conception — 8 December · Christmas Day — 25 December.

Nearby and related places

AgadirMarrakechPonte de LimaLisbonPortoLeiriaSintraFaro

Weather and travel dates: Madeira

Based on NASA POWER historical data from 1981–2025. Temperatures are averages of daily highs and lows; precipitation is the share of days with at least 1 mm. Each month includes at least 45 years of data. Gridded data for the area around this location.

Warmest months

September

Average high: 23.2°C

Coolest months

February

Average high: 17.3°C

Lowest share of days with precipitation

July

Days with ≥1 mm precipitation: 0.9%

Before you travel

Check the forecast daytime and nighttime temperatures, precipitation and current warnings. Use them to choose clothing and plan outdoor activities.

Official travel information

Select your destination on the government website and check the latest advice. Entry requirements depend on factors including citizenship and the purpose of your trip.

FAQ - Madeira weather

What will the weather be like today and tomorrow?

3 November Madeira: the high will be about 18°C and the low 10°C. Trace rainfall - around 0.5 mm. 4 November it will be similarly warm: with a high of about 18°C.

Will it rain in the coming days?

7-day total: 131.1 mm. Across 45 historical seasons, the typical range for the same dates was 2-13 mm.

What does the typical range on the chart mean?

It is the range between the 20th and 80th percentiles of NASA POWER daily highs from 1991-2020 for this time of year.

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