Weather in Mbale - 14-day forecast

Forecast updated: Tuesday 3 NovemberWeather history: NASA POWER · 1981-2025
Weather in the coming days

What will the week bring? Mbale

3 November Mbale: the high will be about 30°C and the low 19°C. Trace rainfall - around 0.3 mm. 4 November it will be similarly warm: with a high of about 31°C.

30°C

maximum on Tue 3 Nov

Temperature, rainfall and historical comparison

Weather forecast compared with previous years

Choose a day to see the details. Temperatures show the daily high and low.

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20°23.8°27.5°31.3°35°30°Tue 3 Nov31°Wed 4 Nov31°Thu 5 Nov30°Fri 6 Nov30°Sat 7 Nov32°Sun 8 Nov30°Mon 9 Nov
Forecast: daily highTypical range 1991-2020
Selected day in detail

Tuesday 3 November

Daily high30°CUsually 22-24°C
Daily low19°CColdest part of the day
Rainfall total0.3 mmTrace rainfall
Maximum wind speed19 km/hForecast wind speed

Warmer than usual. The historical comparison uses daily highs at this time of year. Less than 1 mm of rain is forecast for the day.

Full day-by-day forecast - table
14-day forecast: Mbale
DateMax. / min.RainTypical daily highMax. wind
Tuesday 3 November30° / 19°0.3 mm22-24°C19 km/h
Wednesday 4 November31° / 19°0.3 mm22-24°C21 km/h
Thursday 5 November31° / 19°0.1 mm22-24°C15 km/h
Friday 6 November30° / 20°2.6 mm22-24°C21 km/h
Saturday 7 November30° / 20°1.3 mm22-24°C19 km/h
Sunday 8 November32° / 19°0.6 mm22-24°C14 km/h
Monday 9 November30° / 18°0.6 mm22-24°C18 km/h
Tuesday 10 November30° / 18°1.1 mm22-24°C22 km/h
Wednesday 11 November29° / 18°9.2 mm22-24°C12 km/h
Thursday 12 November27° / 18°17.1 mm22-24°C14 km/h
Friday 13 November20° / 17°8.9 mm22-24°C14 km/h
Saturday 14 November27° / 18°7.1 mm22-24°C16 km/h
Sunday 15 November25° / 18°8.9 mm22-24°C14 km/h
Monday 16 November29° / 18°2.9 mm22-24°C11 km/h

What stands out this week?

Hot days and overnight relief

7 of 7 days ≥30°C

Forecast lows fall below 20°C, offering some relief during the coolest part of the day.

Temperature changes

No sharp cooling

The first 7 forecast days show no day-to-day drop of 3°C or more in the high.

Will it rain?

2 days with rain ≥1 mm

7-day total: 5.9 mm. Across 45 historical seasons, the typical range for the same dates was 15-72 mm.

This summary covers the first 7 forecast days. A rainy day has at least 1 mm of rain. The historical comparison shows how often such days occurred in previous years.

Weather history 1981-2025

The same week in previous years

NASA POWER

How warm was this week in previous years?

Each bar shows the average daily high during the same 7-day period in each year.

swipe to see more years →
15°25°35° 1981: 23°C1982: 22°C1983: 22°C1984: 24°C1985: 22°C1986: 24°C1987: 23°C1988: 22°C1989: 24°C1990: 23°C1991: 22°C1992: 22°C1993: 23°C1994: 23°C1995: 23°C1996: 22°C1997: 24°C1998: 24°C1999: 23°C2000: 24°C2001: 23°C2002: 23°C2003: 23°C2004: 24°C2005: 23°C2006: 25°C2007: 23°C2008: 21°C2009: 24°C2010: 23°C2011: 21°C2012: 21°C2013: 22°C2014: 24°C2015: 23°C2016: 24°C2017: 21°C2018: 24°C2019: 22°C2020: 23°C2021: 24°C2022: 24°C2023: 23°C2024: 24°C2025: 24°C 2026 forecast: 31°C current forecast 31°C 198119902000201020202026
cooler yearstypical rangewarmer years2026 forecastcurrent forecast

From 1981 to 2025, the 3-9 Nov period averaged 23°C by day. The coolest year was 2011 (21°C) and the warmest was 2006 (25°C). The current forecast averages 31°C - higher than in 100% of historical years.

How do we compare the forecast with history?

The forecast chart band shows the 20th-80th percentiles of NASA POWER daily highs from 1991-2020, using the date and a ±7-calendar-day window. The line shows the forecast daily high. The year-by-year chart compares average highs over the same seven dates.

NASA POWER (MERRA-2) data describe conditions in the grid cell covering the location. Elevation and local conditions can affect the comparison.

NASA POWER source and methodology
Plan your trip

Travel offers: Mbale

Partner offers

Hotel and accommodation map

Booking.com · Mbale

Activities and tours

GetYourGuide · Mbale

What else should you know before travelling?

Beyond the forecast period

What weather is typical in the following weeks?

For dates beyond the 14-day forecast, we show typical conditions based on historical data.

Tue 17 Nov - Mon 30 Nov23°C / 12°Cusual daily high / low
Tue 1 Dec - Thu 17 Dec24°C / 12°Cusual daily high / low

Average of the daily medians for the following dates from 1991-2020. A comparison based on historical data.

Downloadable forecast graphic
Mbale - 14-day weather forecast infographic
Detailed weather forecast for Mbale, Uganda: daytime and night temperature, rain, sunrise and sunset - today and for the next two weeks.

UV index in Mbale - is it safe to sunbathe?

UV INDEX · 16-DAY FORECASTMbale03681111+9.2UV VERY HIGHtoday, daily maxSPF 50, long sleeves and shade between 10:00 and16:00.Unprotected fair skin may burn in about 20 min9Tue3.119Wed4.119Thu5.119Fri6.119Sat7.119Sun8.118Mon9.118Tue10.118Wed11.119Thu12.112Fri13.1111Sat14.118Sun15.119Mon16.119Tue17.110-2 low3-5 moderate6-7 high8-10 very high11+ extremeworld-prices.com · 2026-11-03
Today the UV index in Mbale is 9 (very high) - unprotected fair skin can burn in about 20 minutes. SPF 50, long sleeves and shade between 10:00 and 16:00.

Mbale weather through the year

Mbale - annual climate
Mbale weather through the year
MonthAverage highAverage lowDays with ≥1 mm precipitation
January25°C12°C23.2%
February26.7°C12.6°C22.5%
March27.1°C13.3°C46.3%
April25°C13.6°C71%
May23°C13.6°C84.5%
June21.7°C13.1°C78.9%
July20.9°C12.9°C78.1%
August21.4°C13.1°C85.4%
September22.6°C12.9°C80.1%
October23°C12.7°C75.8%
November23.2°C12.6°C65.1%
December23.9°C12°C34.8%

Based on NASA POWER historical data from 1981–2025. Temperatures are averages of daily highs and lows; precipitation is the share of days with at least 1 mm. Each month includes at least 45 years of data. Gridded data for the area around this location.

Nearby and related places

BungomaSorotiJinjaMasakaAruaKaseseEntebbeKampala

Weather and travel dates: Mbale

Based on NASA POWER historical data from 1981–2025. Temperatures are averages of daily highs and lows; precipitation is the share of days with at least 1 mm. Each month includes at least 45 years of data. Gridded data for the area around this location.

Warmest months

March

Average high: 27.1°C

Coolest months

July

Average high: 20.9°C

Lowest share of days with precipitation

February

Days with ≥1 mm precipitation: 22.5%

Before you travel

Check the forecast daytime and nighttime temperatures, precipitation and current warnings. Use them to choose clothing and plan outdoor activities.

Official travel information

Select your destination on the government website and check the latest advice. Entry requirements depend on factors including citizenship and the purpose of your trip.

FAQ - Mbale weather

What will the weather be like today and tomorrow?

3 November Mbale: the high will be about 30°C and the low 19°C. Trace rainfall - around 0.3 mm. 4 November it will be similarly warm: with a high of about 31°C.

Will it rain in the coming days?

7-day total: 5.9 mm. Across 45 historical seasons, the typical range for the same dates was 15-72 mm.

What does the typical range on the chart mean?

It is the range between the 20th and 80th percentiles of NASA POWER daily highs from 1991-2020 for this time of year.

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