Mexico weather in May - temperature, rain and is it a good time to visit?

May is one of the best months for a holiday in Mexico.

Weather in May at a glance

Daytime temperature
30°C
Night-time temperature
15°C
Daylight hours
13h03min
Chance of rain
16%
Days with thunderstorms
9%
Muggy days
7%

An overview for the country. Conditions can vary between cities and regions.

Plan your trip · May

Mexico in May: weather for a week away

Compare destinations and see how many days of a typical trip met your preferred temperature range, with less than 1 mm of daily precipitation.

Historical dataNASA POWER1981-2025
City or region
Compare with history
What weather do you prefer?

Mexico City in May: Sightseeing

1981-2025

Daytime temperature 18-28°CDaily precipitation Less than 1 mm

Days matching your plans
2.4 / 7

Weekly average; typical number of days: 0-4

At least 5 matching days
18%

of historical weeks

All 7 days match
3%

of historical weeks

How many matching days were there in a week?

Each bar shows the share of historical weeks.

5-7 days matching your preferences

When to go? Compare the months

Average matching days per week

The highest average was in March: 6 matching days per week.

Mexico in May: which destinations match most often?

Comparison of 10 cities and regions using your selected conditions.

Mexico City · 1981-2025

Hot days and warm nights in May

Does the temperature drop below 20°C during hot weather?

0%of hot days with a minimum ≥20°C
0%of weeks with at least 3 warm nights*

On 0% of hot days, the temperature stayed at or above 20°C even at its coolest. This covers 66 days with a maximum of at least 30°C.

Lowest temperature on hot days

Below 18°C100%
18°C to below 20°C0%
At least 20°C0%

* A warm night is represented by the daily minimum ≥20°C. Maximum and minimum refer to the same day; this does not isolate the night following a particular hot day.

Mexico City · Your holiday week

How much can temperatures change during a week?

Check cooler hours as well as afternoon temperatures.

Coolest time of day7.1-9.9°CWeekly minimum: typical range
Warmest day25.9-29.2°CWeekly maximum: typical range
4°CTypical difference between the highest and lowest daytime maxima in a week

How often does it get cooler from one day to the next?

7%of weeks with a day-to-day drop in maximum temperature of at least 5°C

A warmer layer may be useful in the evening and early morning. Weekly lows often differed greatly from afternoon temperatures.

Ranges are the 20th-80th percentiles of whole-week minima and maxima, not forecast limits. Cooling compares consecutive daily maxima, not day and night temperatures.

Compare all destinations
18-28°C · Less than 1 mm · 1981-2025
City or regionDays matching your plansAt least 5 matching daysAll 7 days match
Mexico City2.4 / 718%3%
Yucatan0 / 70%0%
Acapulco0 / 70%0%
Oaxaca1.4 / 74%<1%
San Luis Potosí1.4 / 74%<1%
Aguascalientes0.9 / 76%1%
Los Cabos4.5 / 755%27%
Monterrey0.9 / 71%0%
Zapopan0.1 / 70%0%
Tijuana4.9 / 762%20%
Where do the figures come from?

The analysis includes 1,125 complete 7-day periods out of 1,125 possible periods in 45 years (1981-2025), for Mexico City. Every week lies entirely within the selected month. Overlapping weeks are not independent samples. Incomplete weeks are excluded.

A matching day has a daily maximum within the selected temperature range, inclusive, and precipitation below 1 mm. Trace precipitation is possible. The typical range is the 20th-80th percentile of matching days per week. Daily percentages count each calendar day once; categories can overlap.

NASA POWER provides daily MERRA-2 grid data for each location, not city weather-station measurements or an area-wide country average. These are historical frequencies, not a forecast or a measure of forecast accuracy. This comparison does not include cloud, wind, humidity, sea temperature or changes within the day, and does not assess outdoor safety. Check the current forecast before travelling. NASA POWER Daily API.

Historical frequency, not a forecast for your travel dates.

Mexico - May vs the year - annual climate
In May, Mexico averages about 30° during the day and 15° at night. It's usually fairly dry, with only about a 16% chance of rain.
Historical weather 1981-2025

Weather in Mexico in May: trends from 1981 to 2025

NASA POWER

From 2016 to 2025, the average daytime high was 30.5°C, 1.6°C warmer than in 1981-1990. 2024 was the warmest (33.9°C), while 1992 was the coolest (25.8°C).

Differences between years

How similar is the weather in May from year to year?

In 57% of the years compared, temperature and the number of wet days were close to typical for this month.

Similar means an average daily maximum within 2°C and a wet-day count within 3 days of the 1991-2020 medians. This is historical similarity, not forecast accuracy.
57%of years with similar conditions
Typical average daytime high28.5°C–30.4°C
Typical number of wet days0–7 days

Daytime temperatures in May: year by year

Monthly average daily maximum temperature: compare individual years and the longer-term trend.

45 years of data
Coolest month25.8°C 1992
Warmest month33.9°C 2024
Latest year in the data30.8°C 2025
24°26°28°30°32°34°36°1981: 28.6°C · Average daytime maximum1982: 28.3°C · Average daytime maximum1983: 30.7°C · Average daytime maximum1984: 27.9°C · Average daytime maximum1985: 28.6°C · Average daytime maximum1986: 28.1°C · Average daytime maximum1987: 27.7°C · Average daytime maximum1988: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum1989: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum1990: 29.3°C · Average daytime maximum1991: 28.9°C · Average daytime maximum1992: 25.8°C · Average daytime maximum1993: 27.9°C · Average daytime maximum1994: 29.4°C · Average daytime maximum1995: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum1996: 30°C · Average daytime maximum1997: 27.7°C · Average daytime maximum1998: 32.6°C · Average daytime maximum1999: 30.6°C · Average daytime maximum2000: 29.4°C · Average daytime maximum2001: 28.5°C · Average daytime maximum2002: 30.2°C · Average daytime maximum2003: 31.1°C · Average daytime maximum2004: 28.4°C · Average daytime maximum2005: 29.3°C · Average daytime maximum2006: 29.1°C · Average daytime maximum2007: 29°C · Average daytime maximum2008: 29.7°C · Average daytime maximum2009: 28.8°C · Average daytime maximum2010: 30.4°C · Average daytime maximum2011: 31.3°C · Average daytime maximum2012: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum2013: 29.5°C · Average daytime maximum2014: 28°C · Average daytime maximum2015: 28°C · Average daytime maximum2016: 30.3°C · Average daytime maximum2017: 30.5°C · Average daytime maximum2018: 29.8°C · Average daytime maximum2019: 30.7°C · Average daytime maximum2020: 29.5°C · Average daytime maximum2021: 29°C · Average daytime maximum2022: 31.5°C · Average daytime maximum2023: 29.3°C · Average daytime maximum2024: 33.9°C · Average daytime maximum2025: 30.8°C · Average daytime maximum1992: 25.8°C2024: 33.9°C2025: 30.8°C19811990200020102020202524°26°28°30°32°34°36°1981: 28.6°C · Average daytime maximum1982: 28.3°C · Average daytime maximum1983: 30.7°C · Average daytime maximum1984: 27.9°C · Average daytime maximum1985: 28.6°C · Average daytime maximum1986: 28.1°C · Average daytime maximum1987: 27.7°C · Average daytime maximum1988: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum1989: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum1990: 29.3°C · Average daytime maximum1991: 28.9°C · Average daytime maximum1992: 25.8°C · Average daytime maximum1993: 27.9°C · Average daytime maximum1994: 29.4°C · Average daytime maximum1995: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum1996: 30°C · Average daytime maximum1997: 27.7°C · Average daytime maximum1998: 32.6°C · Average daytime maximum1999: 30.6°C · Average daytime maximum2000: 29.4°C · Average daytime maximum2001: 28.5°C · Average daytime maximum2002: 30.2°C · Average daytime maximum2003: 31.1°C · Average daytime maximum2004: 28.4°C · Average daytime maximum2005: 29.3°C · Average daytime maximum2006: 29.1°C · Average daytime maximum2007: 29°C · Average daytime maximum2008: 29.7°C · Average daytime maximum2009: 28.8°C · Average daytime maximum2010: 30.4°C · Average daytime maximum2011: 31.3°C · Average daytime maximum2012: 29.9°C · Average daytime maximum2013: 29.5°C · Average daytime maximum2014: 28°C · Average daytime maximum2015: 28°C · Average daytime maximum2016: 30.3°C · Average daytime maximum2017: 30.5°C · Average daytime maximum2018: 29.8°C · Average daytime maximum2019: 30.7°C · Average daytime maximum2020: 29.5°C · Average daytime maximum2021: 29°C · Average daytime maximum2022: 31.5°C · Average daytime maximum2023: 29.3°C · Average daytime maximum2024: 33.9°C · Average daytime maximum2025: 30.8°C · Average daytime maximum1992: 25.8°C2024: 33.9°C2025: 30.8°C198120002025
Average for each year5-year average1991-2020 reference: 29.5°C

Blue band: the 20th-80th percentile of monthly averages in 1991-2020. The thicker line is the average of five consecutive years. Highlights describe whole months, not single-day records.

View temperatures for every year
YearAverage daytime maximum5-year average
198128.6°C-
198228.3°C-
198330.7°C-
198427.9°C-
198528.6°C28.8°C
198628.1°C28.7°C
198727.7°C28.6°C
198829.9°C28.4°C
198929.9°C28.8°C
199029.3°C29°C
199128.9°C29.1°C
199225.8°C28.8°C
199327.9°C28.4°C
199429.4°C28.3°C
199529.9°C28.4°C
199630°C28.6°C
199727.7°C29°C
199832.6°C29.9°C
199930.6°C30.2°C
200029.4°C30.1°C
200128.5°C29.8°C
200230.2°C30.3°C
200331.1°C30°C
200428.4°C29.5°C
200529.3°C29.5°C
200629.1°C29.6°C
200729°C29.4°C
200829.7°C29.1°C
200928.8°C29.2°C
201030.4°C29.4°C
201131.3°C29.8°C
201229.9°C30°C
201329.5°C30°C
201428°C29.8°C
201528°C29.3°C
201630.3°C29.1°C
201730.5°C29.3°C
201829.8°C29.3°C
201930.7°C29.9°C
202029.5°C30.2°C
202129°C29.9°C
202231.5°C30.1°C
202329.3°C30°C
202433.9°C30.6°C
202530.8°C30.9°C

How has May changed since the 1980s?

A comparison of 1981-1990 with 2016-2025 shows how temperatures, rainfall and the frequency of longer hot spells have changed.

In the latest decade, the average daytime high was 1.6°C warmer than in 1981-1990.

Daytime high
1981-199028.9°C2016-202530.5°C
change: +1.6°C
Hot days
1981-19909.4 days2016-202519 days
change: +9.6 days
Warm nights
1981-19900 days2016-20250 days
change: 0 days
Wet days
1981-19904.4 days2016-20254.8 days
change: +0.4 days
Years with a heatwave
1981-199080%2016-2025100%
change: +20 pp

How often does May bring heat, frost and rain?

Typical number of days and monthly precipitation based on the 1991-2020 climate normal.

Warm days31 dayshigh of at least 25°C
Hot days13 dayshigh of at least 30°C
Frost nights0 dayslow below 0°C
Warm nights0 dayslow of at least 20°C
Wet days4 daysat least 1 mm
Monthly rainfall12 mmtypical total

How often does it rain in Mexico in May?

The chances use every consecutive 3-, 5- and 7-day period from 1981 to 2025. A wet day has at least 1 mm of precipitation.

A full seven days without rain occurred in 62% of historical periods. At least one wet day occurred in 38% of weeks.

3 rain-free days76%historical chance
5 rain-free days68%historical chance
7 rain-free days62%historical chance
Longest dry spell21 daystypical in the month
Longest wet spell2 daystypical in the month

Heatwaves, warm nights and cool spells in May

The percentages show years with at least one run of three consecutive days or nights meeting the stated threshold.

Heatwave87%3 days with highs of at least 30°C39 of 45 years · most often: Days 1-10
Run of warm nights0%3 nights with lows of at least 20°C0 of 45 years
Run of frosty nights0%3 nights with lows below 0°C0 of 45 years
Marked cool spell62%3 days with highs no greater than 27.8°C28 of 45 years · most often: Days 1-10

Highest and lowest values since 1981

Highest temperature35.9°C
Coolest night9°C
Wettest day8.2 mm

Start, middle or end of the month - when is the weather most stable?

We compare temperatures, dry days, heavy rain and wind. The highlighted period usually has the lowest combined risk of rain and stronger winds.

Days 1-10most stable
29.8°CDaytime high14.3°CNight
Dry days
10 days
Heavy-rain risk
0%
Hot days
48%
Stronger wind
0%
Days 11-20
29.3°CDaytime high14.6°CNight
Dry days
10 days
Heavy-rain risk
0%
Hot days
38%
Stronger wind
0%
Day 21 to month end
29.4°CDaytime high15.1°CNight
Dry days
9 days
Heavy-rain risk
0%
Hot days
42%
Stronger wind
0%

The most stable conditions for rain and wind usually occur during: Days 1-10.

Country values are the median of data for 10 cities covered by the site. Source: NASA POWER daily gridded data (MERRA-2), 1981-2025; 1991-2020 climate normal. These are area-based model data and can differ from official weather-station records.

Mexico weather all year - average temperatures and rain

MonthDayNightChance of rain
January ★ 22℃8℃6%
February 26℃10℃7%
March ★ 27℃11℃12%
April 30℃13℃10%
May 30℃15℃16%
June ★ 29℃16℃42%
July ★ 27℃16℃48%
August ★ 28℃16℃39%
September ★ 27℃16℃39%
October ★ 27℃14℃22%
November ★ 24℃11℃12%
December ★ 24℃9℃5%
★ - months most often recommended for travel

Where is it warmest in Mexico in May? Weather by city

For each city, we show the average daytime temperature and the warmest and coolest year. The comparison uses the average daily high across the whole of May, not a single extreme day.

PlaceDayNightMay 1981-2025 SeaChance of rain
Oaxaca 32℃16℃
Average27.8°C Warmest year2024 · 33.5°C Coolest year1992 · 23.6°C Warmest day36.5°C · 9 May 1998 Coolest day17.1°C · 8 May 1992
-46%
Aguascalientes 32℃13℃
Average29.8°C Warmest year2024 · 34.2°C Coolest year1992 · 24.9°C Warmest day36.5°C · 27 May 2024 Coolest day17.7°C · 6 May 1990
-16%
Zapopan 32℃15℃
Average32.6°C Warmest year2024 · 36.6°C Coolest year1992 · 28.7°C Warmest day38.5°C · 10 May 2024 Coolest day21.9°C · 22 May 1997
-14%
San Luis Potosí 30℃12℃
Average28.8°C Warmest year2024 · 34.1°C Coolest year1992 · 24.5°C Warmest day36.2°C · 26 May 2024 Coolest day15.3°C · 6 May 1990
-26%
Los Cabos 29℃22℃
Average27.2°C Warmest year2014 · 29.6°C Coolest year1987 · 25.1°C Warmest day33.3°C · 29 May 2024 Coolest day22.1°C · 29 May 2003
23℃1%
Monterrey 28℃19℃
Average30.1°C Warmest year2024 · 34.9°C Coolest year1992 · 25.9°C Warmest day38.8°C · 8 May 2003 Coolest day15.3°C · 5 May 1990
--
Mexico City 26℃14℃
Average25.7°C Warmest year2024 · 30.8°C Coolest year1992 · 21.5°C Warmest day32.7°C · 10 May 2024 Coolest day15.6°C · 10 May 1992
-61%
Tijuana 21℃14℃
Average23°C Warmest year1984 · 27.9°C Coolest year1998 · 18.5°C Warmest day36.5°C · 29 May 1984 Coolest day12.1°C · 7 May 2017
18℃9%

Temperature records in Mexico: May compared with the whole year

The comparison uses daily high temperatures from 1981-2025 for the 8 cities shown in the table.

Warmest day in May38.8°C Monterrey ·
Warmest day of the year40.9°C Tijuana ·
Coolest day in May12.1°C Tijuana ·
Coolest day of the year-0.1°C Monterrey ·

These are records in NASA POWER gridded data for the analysed cities, not official national weather-station records.

Travelling soon? Check the live 14-day weather forecast for Mexico.

Mexico weather - other months

JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember